Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Spread & Picks for Thursday Night Football

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) celebrates his pass for a touchdown score to wide receiver Christian Kirk (13) during the second quarter of an NFL football matchup Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Indianapolis Colts 37-20. [Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union]The New Orleans Saints are 1-point home favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL Week 7 TNF game on Thursday, October 19New Orleans is 6-1 ATS all-time against Jacksonville. The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their past six road gamesSee the latest odds and our top Jaguars vs Saints picks for TNF here

As the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2, 4-2 ATS) arrive in New Orleans to face the Saints (3-3, 1-4-1 ATS) in the NFL Week 7 TNF game, the biggest question on the minds of bettors is whether Jacksonville QB1 Trevor Lawrence will be a participant or a spectator and how that could affect the Jaguars vs Saints odds.

Suffering what’s being termed a mild knee sprain, Lawrence didn’t finish out last week’s win over the Indianapolis Colts that gave the Jaguars sole possession of the AFC South lead. Can he be ready to play on a short week?

Oddsmakers seem doubtful. They’re setting New Orleans as 1-point home favorites in the Jaguars vs Saints odds. This despite the fact that Jacksonville is riding a 3-0 straight up and against the spread win streak.

Let’s take a deeper look into this Jaguars vs Saints prediction and matchup and offer you our best bet for this Week 7 battle between AFC South and NFC South clubs.

Jaguars vs Saints Odds

In the Jaguars vs Saints odds, the Saints are -120 moneyline favorites, giving them a 54.55% implied win probability. The total is set at 39.5 points.  The total has alternated between under and over in the seven games between Jacksonville and New Orleans. The last meeting between the Jaguars and Saints went under.

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Jacksonville vs New Orleans odds as of October 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a DraftKings sign-up promo code to make your Jaguars vs Saints picks and to bet on other Week 7 NFL action. And check out DraftKings daily menu of odds boosts for TNF and other games this week.

Kickoff for this game at the Caesars Superdome on Thursday, October 19 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.

Public Marching Against Saints

Looking at the NFL public betting splits on this game, public bettors are definitely cat people. The Jaguars are pulling in 62% of spread handle and 86% of moneyline bets in the Jaguars vs Saints betting splits.

New Orleans has won four in a row outright against Jacksonville and covered in their last five contests. At home, the Saints are 3-0 both SU and ATS when facing the Jaguars. However, Jacksonville is 6-0 ATS in the club’s past six road games. Overall, the Jaguars are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games. New Orleans is 1-5-1 ATS through the last seven games.

The total has gone under in each of Jacksonville’s last five games facing NFC South opposition. Each of the last 10 games played by New Orleans have gone under, as have six of the club’s past seven home games.

Jacksonville is the co-ninth betting choice in the odds to win Super Bowl at +2500. New Orleans is given a betting line of +5500 in this market.

Latest Lawrence Injury News

It’s almost a certainty that whether or not Lawrence will be under center for the Jaguars in this game is going to be a game-time decision. He’s been limited in practice so far this week.

Still, Lawrence is remaining optimistic that he’ll be playing in the Week 7 TNF game. He hasn’t missed a game during his three-season NFL career.

While he noted it’s “very likely” Trevor Lawrence still plays vs #Saints, CJ Beathard conceded that he did take all the first-team reps today in practice.

Doug Pederson has said Trevor does not need to practice this week to play Thursday. #Jaguars | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/LGPogJWQe0

— Mia O'Brien (@MiaOBrienTV) October 17, 2023

He has displayed impressive recuperative powers in the past. Last season, Lawrence was hurt against the Detroit Lions, but came back the next week to turn in a three-TD pass performance in a win over the Tennessee Titans.

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TNF Does No Favors for Saints

New Orleans is 8-10 SU all-time on TNF. Lately, though, things haven’t been going well for the Saints in this time slot. They’ve lost three in a row, four of five and six out of their last eight TNF games.

Jags @ Saints on Thursday, two months ahead of the 20th anniversary of one of the funniest endings in NFL history.

Coincidentally, the last time Jacksonville beat New Orleans. pic.twitter.com/xJEGzsQ0dE

— David Helman (@davidhelman_) October 18, 2023

At home, they’re 4-2 SU on TNF, but 0-2 SU in the past two games. The only previous time the Saints were facing an AFC squad on TNF, they dropped a 31-6 home-field decision to the Buffalo Bills in 2021.

Jaguars vs Saints Prediction

On the heels of two big wins in England, the Jaguars came home to beat the Colts and move atop the AFC South. Can they make it four wins in a row in the Big Easy?

That seems doubtful if they are left to face New Orleans minus their starting QB. And even if Lawrence does play, how effective will be be with a bad knee on a short week?

Jaguars vs Saints Picks: New Orleans Saints -1 (-110)

TNF Record: 5-1-0 (+4 units)

Want more picks? Check out tonight’s four-leg TNF SGP here!

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