Arizona Diamondbacks vs LA Dodgers Predictions, Picks & Player Props to Target on July 4

Jun 28, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Landon Knack (96) leaves the field after the third inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY SportsThe Los Angeles Dodgers (53-34) and Arizona Diamondbacks (42-44) conclude their 3-game NL West series in late-night action on Independence Day.Zac Gallen (6-4, 2.83 ERA) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks, while Landon Knack (1-1, 2.08 ERA) gets the ball for the Dodgers.Keep reading to find out who we like in this Fourth of July showdown in the City of Angels.

The Arizona Diamondbacks finish up their trip to Los Angeles on Thursday night, looking for a win against the NL West-leading Dodgers. Each team has won 1 game, so Thursday’s winner will claim the series victory. Ace Zac Gallen gets the ball for Arizona, but Landon Knack has been solid for LA lately. Which offense will provide the fireworks on Thursday night? Tune in to MLB.tv or regional broadcast networks at 9:10 p.m. ET tonight to find out who wins this NL West showcase.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs LA Dodgers Picks

Over 8.5 runs (-115)Landon Knack over 4.5 strikeouts (+125)

The 2 games in this series so far have provided 11 and 16 runs. It doesn’t seem to matter who the pitchers are — these batting orders are simply too good. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are playing well for the Diamondbacks. Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani are doing their thing for the Dodgers. Even though both starters tonight have ERAs under 3.00, there should be plenty of Independence Day fireworks.

I’ll take the over to hit for a third-straight game in this NL West rivalry. You can get -115 odds for 9+ runs to be scored over at BetMGM.

In terms of player props, I’m riding with Dodgers starter Landon Knack to record 5+ strikeouts. The Diamondbacks struck out 8 times as a team on Wednesday night. Knack has been sharp, posting 7 K’s in his last start against the Giants.

Back in April, Knack worked 5 innings against the Diamondbacks and only recorded 2 strikeouts. But he’s a more confident pitcher now. I like him to have 5 or more K’s, which you can get for +125 odds at BetMGM.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs LA Dodgers Odds

Odds via BetMGM as of Thursday, July 4. Sign up for BetMGM today using promo code SBD1500 to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

BetMGM expects the Dodgers to take the series tonight. They’re -135 on the moneyline, compared to +115 for the Diamondbacks. If you think the Dodgers can win by 2 or more runs, you can get that at +150 odds, which provides some value. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs. As mentioned above, I like the over at -115. The under is currently -105.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs LA Dodgers Starting Pitchers

While Zac Gallen is the Diamondbacks’ ace, he’s also making only his second start since coming off the IL. He’s been his usual talented self when he’s been on the mound, so things won’t be easy for the Dodgers’ hitters tonight.

In his first start off the IL, Gallen worked 6 innings, allowing only 1 hit. Of course, you need to take that with a grain of salt, as that start came against the atrocious Oakland A’s. The Dodgers, with Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani in their lineup, along with Will Smith and others, will provide a much tougher test.

On the LA side, Knack has been a pleasant surprise. With basically an entire starting rotation on the IL, Knack has stepped up for his squad. The Dodgers have lost his last 2 starts, but it wasn’t because of Knack. Knack has provided 9.2 innings of work while allowing only 1 run. He’s struck out 9 batters in those starts.

Though Arizona doesn’t strike out much as a squad, Knack has some solid swing-and-miss stuff that should lend to a few K’s tonight.

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