Georgia vs Florida Odds & Prediction – How to Bet the ‘World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party’

Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart celebrates with his players and fans after their victory over Florida. The annual Georgia vs Florida football rivalry was held at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL Saturday, October 29, 2022. The Bulldogs went in at halftime with a 28 to 3 lead over the Gators and won with a final score of 42 to 20. [Bob Self/Florida Times-Union]Jki 102822 Bs Georgia Vs Florida Football Game 2nd Half 06The #1 Georgia Bulldogs are 14.5-point road favorites at the Florida Gators in the college football Week 9 game between this SEC rivals on Saturday, October 28Georgia has reigned as the #1 team in the nation for 19 consecutive weeksThe Gators are 0-3 straight up and against the spread in their last three home games against the Bulldogs

As they prepare to square off with the Florida Gators (5-2, 3-4 ATS), the top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs (7-0, 1-5-1 ATS) continue to get the job done on the field but not at the betting window.

Georgia has covered just once in seven games this season and only twice in the past nine games (2-6-1 ATS) going  back to last season. The Bulldogs are 1-2 ATS in three SEC games after going 6-3 ATS in conference play during 2022.

In the Georgia vs Florida odds, online betting sites aren’t being swayed by the ATS struggles of the Bulldogs. Georgia is being set as a 14.5-point road favorite for this game. It’s the eighth successive game in which the Bulldogs are established as the double-digit chalk. They are 2-5-1 ATS in those games.

Let’s take a deep dive into the Georgia vs Florida odds and offer you our prediction for this Week 9 SEC showdown.

Georgia vs Florida Odds

In the Georgia vs Florida odds, the Bulldogs are -600 moneyline favorites, giving them an 85.71% implied win probability. The total is set at 47 points. That’s the lowest number for an over/under on a Bulldogs vs Gators game since it was set at 43.5 points in 2017.

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Odds as of Oct. 25 at DraftKings. Check out our DraftKings Review before betting on Bulldogs vs Gators and other college football Week 9 action this week.

Last year, Georgia won 42-20 at home over Florida, but failed to cover as 23-point home favorites. At Florida, though, the Bulldogs are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in the past three games there.

Kickoff for this game at Everbank Stadium on Saturday, October 28 is set for 3:30 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS.

Bulldogs vs Gators Betting Trends

In the college football public betting splits, Georgia is 14-0 SU in the last 14 games against SEC opposition and 17-0 SU in the past 17 games facing teams from the SEC East.

Florida is 5-1 SU over the last six games. Facing SEC opposition, the Gators are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games. When that opponent is from the SEC East, Florida is 5-2 ATS through the last seven games.

Six of the last seven Georgia at Florida games have seen the total go under. Nine of the last 13 games between these two teams with a total under 50 points have also gone under. On the other hand, the total has gone over in four of Georgia’s last five games and four of Florida’s past six games.

Georgia is the second betting choice in the National Championship odds at +275. Florida is given +50000 odds in this market.

Bulldogs Slipping In BCS Rankings

Georgia is reigning as the #1 team in the nation for the 19th successive week. The Bulldogs are #3 in the nation in total offense (509.4 yards per game) and #7 in the country in scoring offense (40.1 points per game).

Regardless, there’s a bit less optimism about the Bulldogs in some areas of the college football landscape.

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.

#1 Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators

UGA | 7-0UF | 5-2

This Saturday at 3:30. pic.twitter.com/RpzyeSeAPZ

— CFBLIVE247™ (@CFBLive247_) October 24, 2023

The official CFP rankings won’t be released until October 31. However, the BCS rankings are showing the Bulldogs as the #3 team behind Michigan and Ohio State.

Georgia also dropped to #2 in the national championship betting line for the first time this season. Michigan is now the +225 chalk. The Bulldogs are given a betting line of -190 to make it in the CFP odds.

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Gators Will Air It Out

The aerial show is what’s getting it done in The Swamp this season. Gators QB Graham Mertz is completing 76% of his passes. In Florida’s most recent win over South Carolina, he threw for 423 yards. He’s hit for 240+ yards through the air in five of seven games this season.

Graham Mertz has only ONE turnover worthy play this season

Fewest among all Quarterbacks👀 pic.twitter.com/sqVEuHir8E

— PFF College (@PFF_College) October 19, 2023

Georgia is 107th in the nation in sacks, getting to the QB just 12 times. The Bulldogs have also surrendered touchdowns on 73% of the other team’s ventures into the red zone. That’s 118th overall in the FBS.

Georgia vs Florida Prediction

If you’re a moneyline bettor, take the Bulldogs to win outright here all day long. Georgia hasn’t lost to an unranked Florida team since 2014. However, if you’re playing the spread, then the approach is dramatically different.

Even though the Gators haven’t won and covered at home against the Bulldogs since 2016, and haven’t won and covered facing Georgia as a betting underdog at home since 2003, it feels as if this is the year that latter stat changes. Georgia will win this game, but wager on Florida to be covering.

Georgia vs Florida Pick: Florida Gators +14.5 (-112)

 

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