Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Picks, Player Props & Predictions

Dec 28, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) drives to the hoop between Miami Heat forward Nikola Jovic (5) and forward Jaime Jaquez Jr. (11) in the fourth quarter at the Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY SportsThe Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat kicks off Tuesday’s NBA scheduleGolden State is listed as a slight home favorite over a shorthanded Miami squadSee the Warriors vs Heat predictions, player props, and odds for March 26

The Golden State Warriors (36-34, 18-15 away, 37-32-1 ATS) try to break out of a two-game losing streak on Tuesday night when they visit the Miami Heat (39-32, 18-16 home, 34-36-1 ATS) at the Kaseya Center at 7:10 pm ET.

Miami is battling a long list of injuries to starters and rotation players, which has led oddsmakers to list Golden State as a slight road favorite on March 26.

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds

Golden State is 1.5-point road chalk in Tuesday’s Warriors vs Heat odds and -135 on the moneyline. Miami, which has been curiously mediocre at home this season, comes back as a +110 underdog to improve its record to 19-16 straight-up at the Kaseya Center. The total is listed at 217.5 in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOKOfferT&CsGet Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if You Don’t Win21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.LOCK IN PROMOCODE: DIME1500CODE: DIME1500SIGNUP BONUSGET $1,500
BACKBET NOW

Odds as of March 26 at BetMGM. Claim the sign up offer for BetMGM before betting on Warriors vs Heat on Tuesday. 

Golden State remains the #10 seed in the West in the NBA playoff bracket, now 2.5 games behind the #9 Lakers and only half a game up on the #11 Rockets, who have won an NBA-best nine straight.

Warriors Drop Back to Back Games

Golden State is perilously close to falling out of the postseason picture altogether after back-to-back losses to Indiana (123-111 home) and Minnesota (114-110 away).

The Warriors led both games at the half but were outscored 57-44 in the second by the Pacers and 68-56 by the Timberwolves. Steph Curry had a team-high 25 against Indiana and 31 against Minnesota.

The good news for the Dubs is that they’ll head into Tuesday night as the considerably healthier team. Trayce Jackson-Davis (7.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG) is the only player on Golden State’s injury report, listed as questionable with a sore right knee.

Golden State lost its first game with Miami this season, 114-102 at home on Dec. 28 as 6.5-point home favorites.

2025 NBA Championship Odds: Track All 30 Teams’ Odds to Win NBA FinalsRead More

Heat Demolish Cavs to Win Fourth of Last Six

Miami put the boots to Cleveland on Sunday, crushing the Cavaliers 121-84 in arguably the team’s best defensive performance of the season. Seven different Heat players scored in double-ps, led by 18 off the bench from Haywood Highsmith, as Miami won each of the first three quarters by at least ten points.

Cleveland was missing leading scorer Donovan Mitchell, but the Heat were also without several significant contributors, which will be the case again on Tuesday.

Tyler Herro (20.8 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.4 APG), Duncan Robinson (13.5 PPG, 40.5 3P%), Kevin Love (9.0 PPG, 6.2RPG), and Josh Richardson (9.9 PPG) are all out, while Caleb Martin (10.3 PPG, 4.6 RPG) and Jaime Jaquez Jr (12.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG) are both questionable.

Miami has now won four of its past six games, but that includes a pair of road wins over the Pistons, and the team is actually just 1-3 straight-up in its last four at home.

GSW vs MIA Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 26. 

Curry has the highest point total of the night at 25.5 while Butler leads the Heat players at 22.5.

Warriors vs Heat Prediction

As good as the Heat looked last time out, and as much as I want to back them at plus money, I have to fade them on Tuesday night. Miami’s litany of injuries is just too long, and Golden State’s position is too perilous. With only 12 games remaining in the regular season, the Warriors will need a playoff effort each and every time out to ensure they’re still playing come late April.

GSW vs MIA picks:

Warriors -1.5 (-115)Curry over 25.5 points (-140)

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

BET $5 & GET $150 INSTANTLY!

CLAIM OFFER

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

BET $5 & GET $200 IF YOUR BET WINS!

CLAIM OFFER

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!

CLAIM OFFER

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

GET UP TO $1,000 BACK – ON CAESARS!

CLAIM OFFER

BET365 SPORTSBOOK

BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS!

CLAIM OFFER